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| 網路泡沫化2.0即將到來 |
是的！類似像Groupon這類型的團購網站即將進入泡沫！我們單就台灣這塊小土地來講，目前最大家的有Groupon、17life、拉手網、夠麻吉.、糯米等...，潛在的團購網肯定也不少，這些團購網站的營利模式都是與店家拆帳來獲利，據目前所了解以Groupon以近50/50﹝現在可能會低一點﹞拆帳比是最高，可想而知其他的團購網站拆帳比會更低，但是這真的是好的經營模式嗎？
首先馬克認為團購網站所產生的價值可以說是等於"0"，這與B2C或者是B2B的電子平台營利相當的不一樣，在上面刊登的店家並沒有因為團購網站帶來的客潮而產生實質上的營利，可以說幾乎是無法從這些拿團購卷的客人上獲得到毛利，甚至虧本在經營，原因很簡單就是因為團購網站這一方已經啃食掉店家的獲利，店家這一邊被拆帳外還要吸收潛在的成本虧損，最重要的一點，這些團購網站所收的錢並不會第一時間支付給店家，通常會在幾個月後甚至半年才支付給店家被拆帳所甚的錢，這樣子的營利模式對於店家好處到底在哪裡呢？
當然不可否認的是團購網站所帶來的是能迅速的曝光度，店家當初願意不賺錢的狀態下與團購網合作也就是看在這一點上，被拆掉的帳就是等於廣告費的支出，店家們看的是往後的「可能性」，不過這樣子的可能性風險也不少，因為會想「貪便宜」的消費者回頭率會有多高呢？這個問題可以讓自己站在消費者的角度來看，你會願意回鍋這些店家的意願有多高？店家們期望這些消費者可以回流是有極大的風險，因為在實際面上很多消費者是因為購買了團購卷才甘願從「甲地到乙地」登門拜訪，光是跨地域性的消費族群就已經非常難以掌握了，再來就是潛在的消費糾紛，團購網站盛行後這類的糾紛就接踵而來，店家本來希望利用團購網站來打知名度，可是也可能反而讓消費糾紛讓店家的名譽受損，靠團購網站讓店家一飛沖天的成功案例有多少？
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| 團購網發展到現在不僅只有飲食，連電器用品都可以上架販售 |
還有營收影響，這是很實際的，店家們願意虧多少讓消費者來賺還有團購網賺？通常團購網站最熱門的大都是飲食類，當商品上架後不僅被團購網站抽成，剩下的錢還沒辦法馬上支領，會變成數個月之久的「應收帳款」，對於店家來講這段時間所吸收來的客戶都等於是「免費」服務，不僅毛利沒有，連成本都賺不到，等到收到帳款後才能去攤平所有的透支，也就是說店家在錢還沒入口袋前根本就是咬著牙去撐，對於資本還算雄厚的店家當然沒問題，但是對那些還在起步的小店家呢？馬克曾經就買過一張鍋燒兩吃的團購卷，就在使用後沒幾天團購網站傳來了簡訊，說該店家因為店租被調漲所以無心經營而收掉，這背後有怎樣的原因我無法去推測，也許有可能是整個月都在做「免費生意」而無錢支付店租，也有可能是屋主誤以為該店會因為團購而爆紅而惡意調整店租？這些都有可能，但是馬克相信還有更多店家的血淚案例在上演中，這些我們消費者是無從而知的；但是這對我們消費者也有所謂的潛在性風險。
團購網站的林立，似乎可以看得到風險即將到來，台灣已經被好幾個團購網站所佔據，如果還有人甘願冒風險成立另一個團購網站，很可能會因為資金的短缺而突然倒閉，那麼已經消費的網友呢？他們的保障在哪裡？上架的店家保障在哪裡？網友的錢被惡意倒閉的團購網拿走，而店家要怎麼去面對那些已經消費的網友呢？這是相當實際的問題，尤其對店家來講假如團購網站惡意倒閉後，那麼這些帳款該怎麼收？面對網友難道真的要佛心來的去免費接待這些客戶嗎？
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| 團購網一哥GROUPON本身的財務狀態也不是相當的健全 |
Groupon的經營模式並沒有什麼門檻，團購網站會瘋狂的成立也是看上那恐怖的金流量，但是建立這樣子的公司所需要的人力可沒有想像中的少，光是養這些業務就足夠把錢全部燒光，因為團購網站的特色就是幾乎天天都有不一樣的商品可以選擇，這全都是靠「人」跑出來的成績，而且公司靠的是拆帳而賺錢，你需要不斷的開發新的商品上架才會有「收入」，光從這一點來看就覺得這種電子商務模式根本就是有「病」，而且這樣子的經營模式並沒有創造出新的價值出來，這就很恐怖了，第一次的網路泡沫講求好歹也是如何透過網路去產生「附加價值」，現在的團購網站是靠消減對方的獲利而生存，怎麼想都不對勁吧？
不過團購網站確實是可以存在的經營模式，但是不可能存活在上千家團購網站的市場環境中，現在靠的就是誰稱不下去還有合併來生存了，我想就算是大陸市場，存在十家團購網站都還嫌多呢，中國大陸有五千家團購網都需要自救，哪到底誰能救得了誰呢？其實還蠻有趣的，還有大陸這種山寨文化，每個人只要有錢有能力就當copycat，搞得市場沒一個人可以活下去，這種惡劣的自殺環境真的需要改善，而那些援助成立團購網的創投公司也是活該，成本還有風險評估似乎也走山寨路線，如今連Groupon這個鼻祖都在大陸上玩不下去了，接下來就等著泡泡被戳破的那一天到來，消費者以及店家的恐慌光用想的都想的出來。
我們台灣呢？我想應該也是需要警惕的，這些團購網站靠著一堆業務在支撐，是否也需要好好考慮成本控管呢？制定出一套與店家長期共生的模式，否則這種殺雞取卵的拆帳到底能走多遠，真讓人懷疑。 當然也不排除這些團購網的經營模式有轉型的機會，但是這需要一段時間的觀察。
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